Blackburn at Arsenal over 3 +103 (Pinnacle)

[quantumleap]

I've been running an experiment regarding Arsenal going undefeated in another thread. However I feel this is a good bet for this team and deserves its own thread. Arsenal has scored 4-1 (Everton) and 5-3 (Middlesbrough) in their first 2 matches. Blackburn has scored 1-1 (West Brom) and 2-3 (Southampton) in their first 2 matches. I don't see much defense being played in this match.

I believe the line isn't higher because it is still an early season in the Premiership. Bettors aren't used to betting an "over 3" just yet. I see that Canbet is offering this match at over 2 1/2 -167, however I feel this line dilutes the bet too much.

Arsenal will be wanting to give their home fans something to cheer about with a big win over Blackburn.

 

[quantumleap]

Final score:

Arsenal 3, Blackburn 0.

It's a wash.

 

[soccerbob]

quantum- I think the way to play that total would have been to perhaps go with the Asian Handicap on the total. I believe I saw over 2 1/2 and 3 -125. that would have given you a win and a push and the -125 wasn't too much juice to lay in that spot. Going over the 3 means you need 4 to win and that's asking a lot over the long haul.

 

[quantumleap]

soccerbob:

Thanks for the advice. My only outs right now are Pinnacle and Canbet. I'll be starting a new thread asking which books are best for soccer.

I'll be looking for such totals in future games as I think Arsenal is still the scoring power that you mentioned in the other thread.